Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Talleres win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lanus in this match.
