Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 53.51%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 22.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
