Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 57.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 18.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.
