Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 37%. A win for Patronato had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.43%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Patronato win was 1-0 (12.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
