SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.57%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 1-0 (11.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Sao Paulo |
31.98% ( -0.01) | 29.64% ( 0) | 38.38% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 42.76% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.8% ( -0.01) | 64.2% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.67% ( -0.01) | 83.33% ( 0.01) |
| San Lorenzo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.26% ( -0.02) | 36.74% ( 0.02) |
