SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Fenix | 15 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | River Plate | 15 | 5 | 21 |
| 9 | Montevideo Wanderers | 15 | 5 | 21 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Liverpool | 15 | 13 | 32 |
| 2 | Nacional | 15 | 18 | 28 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 6 | 27 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Liverpool |
| 44.7% | 23.59% | 31.72% |
| Both teams to score 61.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.79% | 40.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.41% | 62.59% |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.69% | 18.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.61% | 49.39% |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.28% | 24.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.73% | 59.27% |
| Score Analysis |
| River Plate | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% 1-0 @ 7.68% 2-0 @ 6.52% 3-1 @ 5.16% 3-0 @ 3.69% 3-2 @ 3.61% 4-1 @ 2.19% 4-0 @ 1.57% 4-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.63% Total : 44.7% | 1-1 @ 10.73% 2-2 @ 6.37% 0-0 @ 4.53% 3-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.58% | 1-2 @ 7.5% 0-1 @ 6.33% 0-2 @ 4.42% 1-3 @ 3.5% 2-3 @ 2.97% 0-3 @ 2.06% 1-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.69% Total : 31.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 89 | 31 | 58 | 82 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 6 | 4 | 83 | 39 | 44 | 81 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 63 | 31 | 32 | 66 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 66 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 62 |
| 6 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 57 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 57 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 63 | 45 | 18 | 55 |
| 9 | Fulham | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 51 |
| 10 | Brentford | 35 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 52 | 45 | 7 | 50 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 43 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 52 | -22 | 40 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 39 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 37 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 67 | -31 | 34 |
| 17 | Everton | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 32 |
| 18 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 71 | -25 | 31 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 35 | 8 | 6 | 21 | 49 | 64 | -15 | 30 |
| R | Southampton | 36 | 6 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 24 |
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