Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 53.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 21.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Fenix win it was 0-1 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Liverpool in this match.
-0.52) 
0.37) 
