Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 6, 2025 at 10pm UK
Estadio Rogelio Lorenzo Livieres
Mendieta (38'), Daniel Torales Peralta (90+3')
Manzur (73'), Maiz (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bareiro (28'), Martinez (49'), Javier Cornet Bogado (90+5')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Guarani and 2 de Mayo.
Form, Standings, Stats
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a 2 de Mayo win with a probability of 35.23%. A win for Guarani had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 31.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a 2 de Mayo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.02%) and 1-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Guarani win was 1-0 (13.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result |
| Guarani | Draw | 2 de Mayo |
33.3% ( -0.05) | 31.47% ( -0.01) | 35.23% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 38.41% ( 0.01) |
| 30.56% ( 0.02) | 69.43% ( -0.02) |
| 13.13% ( 0.01) | 86.87% ( -0.02) |
| 61.29% ( -0.03) | 38.71% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.55% ( -0.03) | 75.44% ( 0.02) |
| 62.67% ( 0.05) | 37.32% ( -0.05) |
