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Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 7, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez

Junior
2 - 2
America

America win 4-3 on penalties
Paiva (54', 71')
Paiva (72')
FT
(aet)
Fanc Lucumii Gonzalez (38'), Vergara (44')
Balanta (60'), Carrascal (77')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Atletico Junior and America de Cali.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Junior 1-2 Colo-Colo
Wednesday, August 21 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Last Game: Alianza Petrolera 2-1 America
Thursday, March 7 at 2am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Junior win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for America de Cali had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Junior win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest America de Cali win was 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%).

Result
Atletico JuniorDrawAmerica de Cali
41.14% (-0.214 -0.21) 28.42% (0.228 0.23) 30.44% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.55% (-0.63 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.45% (-0.787 -0.79)60.55% (0.785 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.35% (-0.597 -0.6)80.65% (0.59700000000001 0.6)
Atletico Junior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.06% (-0.498 -0.5)28.93% (0.498 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.18% (-0.625 -0.63)64.82% (0.624 0.62)
America de Cali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.1% (-0.435 -0.44)35.9% (0.432 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.32% (-0.45 -0.45)72.68% (0.447 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Junior 41.14%
    America de Cali 30.44%
    Draw 28.4%
Atletico JuniorDrawAmerica de Cali
1-0 @ 12.88% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 8.18% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.99% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.38% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.3% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 41.14%
1-1 @ 13.19% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 10.38% (0.3 0.3)
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.4%
0-1 @ 10.64% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 6.76% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.45% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 30.44%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Junior 1-2 Colo-Colo
Wednesday, August 21 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Colo-Colo 1-0 Junior
Wednesday, August 14 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Junior 0-0 Botafogo
Tuesday, May 28 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: LDU Quito 0-1 Junior
Tuesday, May 14 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Universitario 1-1 Junior
Wednesday, May 8 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Junior 1-1 LDU Quito
Wednesday, April 24 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Alianza Petrolera 2-1 America
Thursday, March 7 at 2am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: America 2-1 Medellin (1-3 pen.)
Thursday, March 17 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Medellin 2-1 America
Thursday, March 10 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Athletico PR 4-1 America
Wednesday, July 21 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: America 0-1 Athletico PR
Wednesday, July 14 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 1-0 America
Wednesday, May 26 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores


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