SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 61.49%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 16.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Sporting Cristal win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Huracan | Draw | Sporting Cristal |
61.49% ( -2.34) | 21.81% ( 0.83) | 16.7% ( 1.5) |
| Both teams to score 49.46% ( 0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.32% ( -0.8) | 47.68% ( 0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.12% ( -0.74) | 69.88% ( 0.74) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85% ( -1) | 14.99% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.55% ( -1.92) | 43.45% ( 1.92) |
| Sporting Cristal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.18% ( 1.49) | 41.82% ( -1.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.72% ( 1.27) | 78.28% ( -1.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Huracan | Draw | Sporting Cristal |
| 1-0 @ 11.89% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.28% ( -0.44)2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.54)3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.39)4-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.2)5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.35% Total : 61.47% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.39) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.88% Total : 21.81% | 0-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.35)0-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.1)Other @ 1.77% Total : 16.7% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 94 | 33 | 61 | 89 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 88 | 43 | 45 | 84 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 58 | 43 | 15 | 75 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 68 | 33 | 35 | 71 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 75 | 47 | 28 | 67 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 72 | 53 | 19 | 62 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 61 |
| 8 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 60 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 59 |
| 10 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 52 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 45 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 44 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 58 | -27 | 41 |
| 14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 40 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 71 | -34 | 39 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 38 |
| 17 | Everton | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 34 | 57 | -23 | 36 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 51 | 68 | -17 | 34 |
| R | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 78 | -30 | 31 |
| R | Southampton | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 25 |
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