Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Talleres win with a probability of 55.53%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 20.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Talleres win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Sporting Cristal win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Talleres in this match.
