Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 53.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Pouso Alegre had a probability of 20.35%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.19%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Pouso Alegre win it was 1-0 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
