SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
46.76% ( 1.89) | 25.05% ( 0.25) | 28.19% ( -2.14) |
| Both teams to score 54.37% ( -2.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.35% ( -2.24) | 48.65% ( 2.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.24% ( -2.07) | 70.76% ( 2.07) |
| Atletico Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.16% ( -0.09) | 20.84% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.48% ( -0.15) | 53.52% ( 0.15) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.68% ( -2.67) | 31.33% ( 2.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.31% ( -3.21) | 67.69% ( 3.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
| 1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.88) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.68)3-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.34)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.61% Total : 46.76% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.58)2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.33)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.41)0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.37)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.3)0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.23)Other @ 2.86% Total : 28.19% |
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