Copa do Brasil | First Round
Feb 26, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Olimpico Horacio Domingos de Sousa
Maracana win 5-4 on penalties
Lucas Ramos da Silva (78')
Alan Bezerra Ferreira (28'), da Rocha Soares dos Santos (58'), Anastacio Silva Filho (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ferreira da Silva (32')
Brito dos Santos (12'), Ferreira da Silva (58'), Ramires (70')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil First Round clash between Maracana and Ferroviario.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maracana win with a probability of 48.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Ferroviario had a probability of 24.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maracana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a Ferroviario win it was 0-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result |
| Maracana | Draw | Ferroviario |
48.92% ( 0.61) | 26.1% ( 0.17) | 24.98% ( -0.77) |
| Both teams to score 48.55% ( -1.17) |
| 45% ( -1.18) | 55% ( 1.18) |
| 23.73% ( -0.98) | 76.27% ( 0.98) |
| 77.48% ( -0.23) | 22.51% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.91% ( -0.34) | 56.08% ( 0.34) |
| 62.66% ( -1.32) | 37.34% ( 1.32) |
