SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 63.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 14.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.45%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Flamengo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Flamengo | Draw | Corinthians |
63.46% ( 1.28) | 21.74% ( -0.51) | 14.8% ( -0.76) |
| Both teams to score 45.5% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.25% ( 0.66) | 50.75% ( -0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.35% ( 0.58) | 72.65% ( -0.58) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.62% ( 0.64) | 15.38% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.83% ( 1.19) | 44.17% ( -1.19) |
| Corinthians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.77% ( -0.67) | 46.22% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.1% ( -0.52) | 81.9% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Flamengo | Draw | Corinthians |
| 1-0 @ 13.31% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 12.45% ( 0.22)2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.3)3-1 @ 6% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.05% Total : 63.45% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.65% Total : 21.74% | 0-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.26% Total : 14.8% |
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