While the visitors have been far from impressive this season, they will still be expecting to dominate this match. There should be a fair few changes to the regular Getafe lineup, which could allow the hosts an opportunity or two, but we are still expecting Geta Azulones to win this one comfortably.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 79.78%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Tardienta had a probability of 7.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.62%) and 1-2 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.08%), while for a Tardienta win it was 2-1 (2.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-12 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Getafe would win this match.
-0.03) 
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