Coverage of the Copa del Rey First Round clash between Lorca Deportiva and Eibar.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 68.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Lorca Deportiva had a probability of 12.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.09%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%), while for a Lorca Deportiva win it was 1-0 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
| Result |
| Lorca Deportiva | Draw | Eibar |
12.2% ( -0.12) | 19.17% ( 0.01) | 68.63% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 46.45% ( -0.4) |
| 54.37% ( -0.35) | 45.63% ( 0.34) |
| 32.05% ( -0.33) | 67.95% ( 0.33) |
| 52.91% ( -0.42) | 47.09% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.45% ( -0.32) | 82.55% ( 0.31) |
| 87.78% ( -0.07) | 12.21% ( 0.07) |
