SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 27.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mirandes | Draw | Eibar |
27.23% ( 0.14) | 27.07% ( 0.13) | 45.69% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 47.59% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.86% ( -0.39) | 57.14% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.99% ( -0.31) | 78.01% ( 0.31) |
| Mirandes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.41% ( -0.1) | 36.58% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.63% ( -0.1) | 73.37% ( 0.09) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.04% ( -0.3) | 24.95% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.4% ( -0.42) | 59.59% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mirandes | Draw | Eibar |
| 1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.15% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.85% Total : 27.23% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.07% | 0-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 4.07% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.33% Total : 45.69% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leganes | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 28 |
| 2 | EibarEibar | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 24 |
| 4 | Espanyol | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 23 |
| 5 | Levante | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 23 |
| 6 | TenerifeTenerife | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
| 7 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
| 10 | Racing Club de FerrolRacing de Ferrol | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 20 |
| 11 | ElcheElche | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 19 |
| 12 | Real Oviedo | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 17 |
| 13 | MirandesMirandes | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | Burgos | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 17 |
| 15 | Eldense | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 16 |
| 17 | Albacete | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 | Villarreal II | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 13 |
| 19 | Amorebieta | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 10 |
| 20 | AlcorconAlcorcon | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
| 21 | Huesca | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 |
| 22 | CartagenaCartagena | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 6 |
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