SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Suriname win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Canada had a probability of 21.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Suriname win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Canada would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Suriname | Draw | Canada |
56.08% ( -0.04) | 22.78% ( 0.01) | 21.15% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.21% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.72% ( -0.02) | 45.29% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.38% ( -0.02) | 67.63% ( 0.02) |
| Suriname Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.04% ( -0.02) | 15.97% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.74% ( -0.03) | 45.27% ( 0.04) |
| Canada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.51% ( 0.02) | 35.49% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.75% ( 0.02) | 72.26% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Suriname | Draw | Canada |
| 1-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.54% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.04% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 56.07% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.78% | 0-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.04% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 1.92% Total : 21.15% |
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