SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Curacao had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Curacao win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Honduras | Draw | Curacao |
37.44% ( -0.24) | 26.7% ( 0.03) | 35.85% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 51.87% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.83% ( -0.14) | 53.16% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.26% ( -0.12) | 74.73% ( 0.11) |
| Honduras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.49% ( -0.2) | 27.51% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.98% ( -0.26) | 63.01% ( 0.25) |
| Curacao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.55% ( 0.06) | 28.45% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.79% ( 0.07) | 64.21% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Honduras | Draw | Curacao |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% 2-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.04% Total : 37.44% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.98% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.85% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 28 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 69 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 67 | 25 | 42 | 61 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 50 |
| 4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 49 |
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 47 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 42 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
| 8 | Brentford | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 42 |
| 9 | Fulham | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 27 |
| 14 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 26 |
| 15 | Everton | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 26 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 25 |
| 18 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
| 19 | Bournemouth | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 24 |
| 20 | Southampton | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 23 |
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