SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jamaica win with a probability of 60.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Grenada had a probability of 16.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jamaica win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.21%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Grenada win it was 1-0 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Jamaica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Grenada | Draw | Jamaica |
16.34% ( -0.01) | 23.2% ( -0) | 60.45% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 44.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.24% ( 0.01) | 53.75% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.76% ( 0) | 75.23% ( -0.01) |
| Grenada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.08% ( -0) | 45.91% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.34% ( -0) | 81.65% ( -0) |
| Jamaica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.55% ( 0) | 17.44% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.09% ( 0.01) | 47.9% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Grenada | Draw | Jamaica |
| 1-0 @ 6.23% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.24% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.43% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.1% ( -0)3-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.38% Total : 16.34% | 1-1 @ 10.88% 0-0 @ 8.01% ( -0)2-2 @ 3.7% Other @ 0.61% Total : 23.2% | 0-1 @ 13.98% 0-2 @ 12.21% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.51% ( 0)0-3 @ 7.11% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.53% ( 0)0-4 @ 3.1% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.42% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.15% 0-5 @ 1.08% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.42% Total : 60.45% |
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