Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Martinique had a probability of 21.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Martinique win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Costa Rica would win this match.
