Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Martin win with a probability of 55.15%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Anguilla had a probability of 21.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Martin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for an Anguilla win it was 1-0 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Martin would win this match.
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