Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trinidad and Tobago win with a probability of 81.91%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Saint Martin had a probability of 6.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trinidad and Tobago win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.39%), while for a Saint Martin win it was 1-2 (2.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Trinidad and Tobago in this match.
