SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 46.62%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 26.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.07%) and 1-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Nantong Zhiyun win it was 1-0 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nantong Zhiyun | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
26.35% ( -0.08) | 27.04% ( 0.09) | 46.62% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.06% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.5% ( -0.38) | 57.5% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.71% ( -0.3) | 78.3% ( 0.3) |
| Nantong Zhiyun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.47% ( -0.28) | 37.53% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.69% ( -0.27) | 74.31% ( 0.27) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.33% ( -0.17) | 24.67% ( 0.17) |
