SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 71.29%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger had a probability of 11.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for a Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win it was 1-2 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
71.29% ( -0.07) | 17.07% ( 0.09) | 11.63% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.91% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.52% ( -0.52) | 37.47% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.3% ( -0.56) | 59.69% ( 0.56) |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.7% ( -0.15) | 9.29% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.62% ( -0.36) | 31.38% ( 0.35) |
| Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.23% ( -0.39) | 42.77% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.9% ( -0.34) | 79.09% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Draw | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
| 2-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.28% Total : 71.28% | 1-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 17.07% | 1-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 1.43% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.3% Total : 11.63% |
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