SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Changchun Yatai |
43.51% ( 0.02) | 26.23% ( 0) | 30.26% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.84% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.49% ( -0.01) | 52.51% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.83% ( -0.01) | 74.17% ( 0.01) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.02% ( 0.01) | 23.98% ( -0.01) |
