Vikingur Reykjavik 3-3 Malmo - Champions League First Qualifying Round - Football

Malmo would have been frustrated not to make their extra man count for more in the first leg, but a fit-again and in-form Christiansen wearing the armband is a recipe for success for the visitors. The Allsvenskan champions can expect a hostile atmosphere at Vikingsvollur, but their recent spate of goal-laden showings can help them end the Vikingur dream, even if the Icelandic hosts can make things interesting with a goal on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Vikingur Reykjavik had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Vikingur Reykjavik win was 2-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Vikingur Reykjavik	Draw	Malmo
28.07% ( -0.04)	23.56% ( -0.02)	48.36% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 59.27% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.85% (

0.04)

42.14% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.45% (

0.04)

64.55% (

-0.05)

Vikingur Reykjavik Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.94% (

-0)

28.05% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.29% (

-0)

63.71% (

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.39% (

0.03)

17.61% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.8% (

0.06)

48.19% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Vikingur Reykjavik 28.07%

Malmo 48.36%

Draw 23.56%

Vikingur Reykjavik	Draw	Malmo
2-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.55% 3-0 @ 1.69% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 28.07%	1-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.56%	1-2 @ 9.47% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.45% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.48% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.48% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.87% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 3.82% Total : 48.36%

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	AIK Fotboll	13	5	25
4	Malmo	14	5	24
5	Hammarby	12	12	21

Form, Standings, Stats