Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest FK Zalgiris win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.
