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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 48.17%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 27.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
48.17% ( -0.38) | 24.06% ( 0.13) | 27.77% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 57.3% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.36% ( -0.39) | 44.64% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33% ( -0.37) | 67% ( 0.38) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.35% ( -0.3) | 18.65% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.03% ( -0.51) | 49.97% ( 0.51) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.44% ( -0.01) | 29.56% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.42% ( -0.02) | 65.58% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.37% Total : 48.17% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.06% | 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.28% Total : 27.77% |
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