Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 37.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.