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Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
May 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
PL

Dortmund
1 - 0
PSG

Fullkrug (36')
Maatsen (19'), Schlotterbeck (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ruiz (53')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 47.56%. A win for Borussia Dortmund has a probability of 31.53% and a draw has a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-3 (5.89%) and 2-3 (4.99%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win is 2-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8%).

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawParis Saint-Germain
31.53% (0.052 0.05) 20.91% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 47.56% (-0.07 -0.07)
Both teams to score 71.62% (-0.053000000000011 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.02% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)26.98% (0.074000000000002 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.54% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)47.46% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.6% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)18.39% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.46% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)49.53% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.76% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)12.23% (0.051 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.06% (-0.102 -0.1)37.93% (0.102 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 31.53%
    Paris Saint-Germain 47.56%
    Draw 20.91%
Borussia DortmundDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 6.78% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 3.81% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.23% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.82% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
4-3 @ 1.19% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 31.53%
1-1 @ 8% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 7.12% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 2.81% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.25% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 20.91%
1-2 @ 8.41% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 5.89% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.99% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.97% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 4.73% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.48% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 3.09% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-4 @ 2.62% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.83% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.48% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.3% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.1% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 47.56%

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Form Guide
Last Game: RB Leipzig 4-1 Dortmund
Saturday, April 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, April 21 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 4-2 Atletico
Tuesday, April 16 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-2 Dortmund
Saturday, April 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Dortmund
Wednesday, April 10 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dortmund 0-1 Stuttgart
Saturday, April 6 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: PSG 3-3 Le Havre
Saturday, April 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 1-4 PSG
Wednesday, April 24 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 4-1 Lyon
Sunday, April 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Barcelona 1-4 PSG
Tuesday, April 16 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: PSG 2-3 Barcelona
Wednesday, April 10 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: PSG 1-1 Clermont
Saturday, April 6 at 8pm in Ligue 1


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