Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 33.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
