Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
