MX23RW : Saturday, February 18 00:31:46
SM
Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: 11 hrs 58 mins
Apr 3, 2021 at 2.30pm UK at WWK Arena
Augsburg
2 - 1
Hoffenheim
Vargas (8'), Hahn (23')
Hahn (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Skov (86')
Samassekou (37')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 56.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 21.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
AugsburgDrawHoffenheim
21.52%21.53%56.95%
Both teams to score 59.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.85%39.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.52%61.49%
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.33%31.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.91%68.09%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.4%13.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.26%40.74%
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 21.52%
    Hoffenheim 56.95%
    Draw 21.53%
AugsburgDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 5.68%
1-0 @ 4.95%
2-0 @ 2.85%
3-1 @ 2.18%
3-2 @ 2.17%
3-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 21.52%
1-1 @ 9.88%
2-2 @ 5.67%
0-0 @ 4.31%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.53%
1-2 @ 9.86%
0-1 @ 8.59%
0-2 @ 8.57%
1-3 @ 6.56%
0-3 @ 5.7%
2-3 @ 3.77%
1-4 @ 3.27%
0-4 @ 2.84%
2-4 @ 1.88%
1-5 @ 1.31%
0-5 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 56.95%

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Bundesliga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern20127159184143
2Union BerlinUnion Berlin20133435241142
3Borussia DortmundDortmund20131640261440
4Freiburg2011453231137
5RB Leipzig20106440261436
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt20105540291135
7Wolfsburg2086638261230
8Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen208393332127
9Werder Bremen208393139-827
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach207583533226
11FC Koln206863231126
12Mainz 05Mainz207583032-226
13Augsburg2173112636-1024
14Hoffenheim2154122940-1119
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum2061132449-2519
16Hertha Berlin2045112436-1217
17Stuttgart2037102336-1316
18Schalke 04Schalke2026121441-2712
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