Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 37.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
