Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
