Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.49%. A draw has a probability of 20.5% and a win for Mainz 05 has a probability of 19.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.96%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Mainz 05 win it is 1-2 (5.16%).
