Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.49%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 14.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 1-0 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
