Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 65.68%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 16.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 3-1 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
