Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.