Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.