Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (11.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
