Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 45.12%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 26.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.2%) and 1-2 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 1-0 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
