SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 10 | 12 | 19 |
| 2 | Corinthians | 10 | 4 | 18 |
| 3 | Atletico Mineiro | 10 | 3 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Corinthians | 10 | 4 | 18 |
| 3 | Atletico Mineiro | 10 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Athletico Paranaense | 10 | -1 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Palmeiras | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
41.83% ( -0.53) | 26.55% ( -0.06) | 31.61% ( 0.58) |
| Both teams to score 51.44% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.7% ( 0.41) | 53.3% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.15% ( 0.34) | 74.85% ( -0.35) |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.82% ( -0.09) | 25.17% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.1% ( -0.12) | 59.89% ( 0.12) |
| Atletico Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.74% ( 0.62) | 31.26% ( -0.62) |
