SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 10 | 12 | 19 |
| 2 | Corinthians | 10 | 4 | 18 |
| 3 | Atletico Mineiro | 10 | 3 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 55.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Emelec had a probability of 20.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Emelec win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Palmeiras in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Palmeiras.
| Result | ||
| Palmeiras | Draw | Emelec |
55.95% ( 0.01) | 23.89% ( -0) | 20.15% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 49.23% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.84% ( 0.01) | 51.16% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.99% ( 0.01) | 73.01% ( -0.01) |
| Palmeiras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.87% ( 0.01) | 18.13% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.91% ( 0.01) | 49.09% ( -0.01) |
| Emelec Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.13% ( 0.01) | 39.87% ( -0) |
