Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Internacional and Gremio.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.
