Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
