Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 55.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 18.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
