Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 54.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 20.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
